Predicted Growth

Predicted Growth estimates the likelihood that a trend will increase or decrease over the next 12 months.

This metric uses historical performance patterns across platforms to forecast future trajectory.

Predicted Growth helps answer the question:

Is this trend likely to continue growing?

Predictions are generated using machine learning models trained on millions of historical data points.


What “High” vs “Low” Means

Predicted Growth is expressed as probability categories.

Prediction Level

Meaning

Very Likely

Strong confidence the trend will continue growing

Likely

Growth is probable

Uncertain

Equal probability of growth or decline

Unlikely

Decline is probable

Very Unlikely

Strong confidence the trend will decline

Each prediction also includes a confidence score, indicating how strongly the model supports the forecast.

Predicted Growth measures future trajectory, not current popularity.


How to Use Predicted Growth in Planning

Predicted Growth is most useful when combined with other signals such as Popularity, Clusters, and Lifecycle stage.

Different teams use it in different ways.

Innovation & Product Development

Identify trends with:

  • Rising popularity
  • High predicted growth

These trends often represent new product opportunities.


Marketing Strategy

Focus messaging around trends that show:

  • Strong or growing popularity
  • Positive predicted growth

These trends represent current and future consumer narratives.


Retail & Merchandising

Prioritize inventory for trends with:

  • Sustained growth signals
  • Strong predicted demand

Reduce exposure to trends with declining predictions.


Investment & Market Analysis

Predicted Growth can help identify:

  • Categories with expanding demand
  • Markets approaching saturation
  • Long-term growth opportunities

Interpreting Predicted Growth with Lifecycle

Predicted Growth plays an important role in determining lifecycle stage.

Lifecycle Stage

Typical Prediction

Early

High or Very High

Growth

High

Mainstream

Medium to High

Fade

Low or Very Low

While popularity tells you how big a trend is, predicted growth helps determine where it is heading next.